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Current Win Probability
Oldham Athletic 43%
Draw 28.5%
Morecambe 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.7%
28.2%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
19%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldham Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morecambe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oldham Athletic - Morecambe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
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Oldham has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Morecambe has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Oldham will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Oldham won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Oldham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.