Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	Stevenage Borough		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.8
	2.05	3.2	3.8
	1.95	3.2	4
	2.01	3.15	3.8
	1.97	3.45	4.22
	2	3.2	3.9
	2.02	3.44	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.82)	3.28 ↓ (3.46)	3.96 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
47.3%

Draw
28.9%

Oldham Athletic
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Stevenage Borough - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 22).

Stevenage has the most likely position - 23 (34.03%), has project points - 43, has currently - 34, has a chance of relegated (34%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Oldham has the most likely position - 23 (52.75%), has project points - 41, has currently - 34, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has very small quality 6, very big importance 97, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 2.

Stevenage has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oldham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oldham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Oldham have a series of home games.

In this match Stevenage is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
26.03.22	Exeter City - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
15.03.22	Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
12.03.22	Stevenage Borough - Newport County	0:2 ✺
05.03.22	Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough	2:2 ✺
26.02.22	Port Vale - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL
- Oldham Athletic
English League Two
29.03.22	Oldham Athletic - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Oldham Athletic - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
22.03.22	Oldham Athletic - Sutton United	1:3 ✺
19.03.22	Oldham Athletic - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
15.03.22	Walsall - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.10.21	Oldham Athletic - Stevenage Borough	3:0
02.04.21	Oldham Athletic - Stevenage Borough	0:1
19.09.20	Stevenage Borough - Oldham Athletic	3:0
14.01.20	Stevenage Borough - Oldham Athletic	0:0
02.03.19	Oldham Athletic - Stevenage Borough	1:1
03.11.18	Stevenage Borough - Oldham Athletic	3:2
English League One
11.01.14	Oldham Athletic - Stevenage Borough	1:0

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