The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 35.3%
Draw 29.7%
Cambridge United 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
29%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
29.5%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45%
30%
25%
Morecambe - Cambridge United Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Cambridge will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Morecambe: 23.2% โ 66.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 9).
Morecambe has the most likely position - 24 (23.08%), has project points - 41, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (61%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cambridge has the most likely position - 18 (7.65%), has project points - 53, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality13, importance39, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0.
Morecambe is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Cambridge is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16-29.
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.
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