Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)


	Oldham Athletic		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.02	3.4	3.35
	2.12	3.45	3.05
	2.21	3.53	3.24
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.13	3.52	3.16
	2.1	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.02)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)	3.18 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
44%

Draw
27.1%

Scunthorpe United
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	4.2%	20.8%

Oldham Athletic - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Scunthorpe will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 17 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oldham won 1.

Oldham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Scunthorpe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oldham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Oldham won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Oldham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English National League
01.10.22	Oldham Athletic - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Bromley - Oldham Athletic	3:0 ✺
17.09.22	Oldham Athletic - Eastleigh	3:2 ✺
13.09.22	Woking - Oldham Athletic	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL
- Scunthorpe United
English National League
01.10.22	Torquay United - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Scunthorpe United - Dorking Wanderers	3:2 ✺
17.09.22	Scunthorpe United - York City	1:1 ✺
13.09.22	Altrincham - Scunthorpe United	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Scunthorpe United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.02.22	Scunthorpe United - Oldham Athletic	0:1
26.12.21	Oldham Athletic - Scunthorpe United	1:3
16.03.21	Scunthorpe United - Oldham Athletic	1:1
14.11.20	Oldham Athletic - Scunthorpe United	0:2
01.01.20	Oldham Athletic - Scunthorpe United	0:2
17.09.19	Scunthorpe United - Oldham Athletic	2:2
English League One
03.03.18	Scunthorpe United - Oldham Athletic	0:2

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