The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olimpia Asuncion 53.1%
Draw 27.7%
Atlético Tembetary 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.3%
22.4%
12.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.2%
22.1%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpia Asuncion's form might have worsened.
Atlético Tembetary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Tembetary's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Tembetary, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Esteche J. F. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Charpentier P. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Ferreira S. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Martinez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Redes R. (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, Ferreira S. (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, Ortiz R. (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Tembetary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Olimpia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).