Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Elbląg		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.7	1.63
	4.3	3.8	1.65
	4.09	3.75	1.74
	4.45	3.87	1.72	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.55
	4.21	3.8	1.67
	4.3	3.8	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↓ (4.4)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
21.1%

Draw
24%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

25.4%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

24.9%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tulowiecki K. (G) 17. Fadecki W. 19. Kozera D. 13. Kuczalek M. (C) 9. Kuzimski M. 7. Stepien R. 16. Szalecki D. 25. Sznajder F. 14. Tiahlo O. 30. Wierzba D. 28. Yatsenko O.	1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 10. Jaron D. (C) 4. Korczakowski I. 13. Lis J. 21. Los K. 17. Niewiadomski J. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 6. Skowronski G. 23. Sommerfeld K.
Substitutes
6. Czernis M. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 15. Krynski A. 18. Leszczynski B. 24. Mruk B. 20. Pirog J. 5. Szczudlinski K. 21. Tobojka M. 27. Witan A. (G)	8. Bahonko E. 26. Cierpial J. 11. Dziegielewski D. 80. Glacel M. (G) 24. Gulczynski G. 14. Karolak P. 25. Los S. . Urbanski P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Wierzba D. 🟥,
27', 0 - 1, Lis J. ⚽,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Korczakowski I. ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, Yatsenko O. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, Dziegielewski D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
02.11.24	Polonia Bytom - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Olimpia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Olimpia Elbląg - KKS Kalisz	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWT
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
02.11.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
26.10.24	KKS Kalisz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
01.05.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0
23.10.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0

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