Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 16

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Hutnik

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	4.33
	1.59	4.5	4
	1.59	4.25	4.4
	1.61	4.39	4.65	Watch
	1.5	4.2	4.5
	1.53	4.3	4.7
	1.59	4.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.48)	4.33 ↑ (3.97)	4.37 ↓ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
58.2%

Draw
21%

Hutnik
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

22.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

21.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hutnik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hutnik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Hutnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 16. Gajgier A. 24. Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 13. Lis J. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 6. Skowronski G. 23. Sommerfeld K.	1. Fratczak D. (G) 10. Glogowski K. 77. Glogowski M. 64. Gorski M. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 3. Jania F. 8. Misak P. 11. Slomka W. 22. Sowinski M. 32. Tarasovs I. 6. Urbanczyk M.
Substitutes
8. Bahonko E. 26. Cierpial J. 11. Dziegielewski D. 80. Glacel M. (G) 14. Karolak P. 4. Korczakowski I. 25. Los S. 17. Niewiadomski J. . Urbanski P.	9. Belych Y. 12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 17. Ikwuka A. 4. Kedziora L. 70. Pietrzyk K. 15. Soprych O. 21. Szablowski K. 23. Tomal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Sowinski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 1, Sommerfeld K. ⚽,
72', Jaron D. ↓, Dziegielewski D. ↑,
72', Niski N. ↓, Niewiadomski J. ↑,
77', Korczakowski I. 🟨,
79', Sommerfeld K. ↓, Bahonko E. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Cup
30.10.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
26.10.24	KKS Kalisz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWW
- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
27.10.24	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Polonia Bytom - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
11.10.24	KKS Kalisz - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Hutnik - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
26.03.22	Hutnik - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0
11.09.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Hutnik	2:1

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