The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olimpia Tegucigalpa 51.3%
Draw 30.4%
Real España 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
25.2%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
27.5%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Tegucigalpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real España Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Menjivar E. (C) 19. Arboleda Y. 27. Bengtson J. 40. Bennett C. 6. Garcia F. 18. Garcia R. 44. Lobo E. 20. Maldonado A. 7. Pinto J. 8. Rodriguez E. 31. Sanchez C.
22. Lopez L. (G) 19. Aparicio D. 10. Benavidez J. (C) 5. Flores F. 6. Garcia D. 11. Hernandez E. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 28. Mejia C. 36. Osorto R. 30. Sayago D. 18. Vuelto D.
Substitutes
23. Alvarez J. 12. Arzu M. 9. Benguche J. 33. Chirinos M. 21. Figueroa J. 15. Guity K. 67. Morales Y. 32. Mulet A. 39. Ortiz A. 3. Queiroz F. 5. Rivas E. 22. Rodriguez O. (G)
54. Arana M. 16. Arzu E. 39. Cacho D. 4. Capeluto J. 8. Garcia A. 23. Lopez R. (G) 21. Palacios D. 69. Palacios J. 34. Pike C. 7. Ritacco G. 26. Rodriguez J. 20. Romero C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Bengtson J. ⚽,
29', Jean-Baptiste J. 🟨,
30', Garcia R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Vuelto D. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Arboleda Y. ⚽,
54', 3 - 0, Aparicio D. (Own goal),
62', 3 - 1, Ritacco G. ⚽,
67', Aparicio D. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
68', Pinto J. ↓, Chirinos M. ↑,
68', Arboleda Y. ↓, Benguche J. ↑,
68', Rodriguez E. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Hernandez E. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Bengtson J. ↓, Queiroz F. ↑,
88', Osorto R. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
88', Mejia C. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
90', Garcia D. 🟨,
90+2', Garcia R. 🟨,
90+7', Sanchez C. ↓, Guity K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.
In recent matches, Olimpia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Real España is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Olimpia is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Real Espana
8
5
3
0
13:4
9
18
2
Olimpia
8
5
2
1
19:7
12
17
Last Results with these Odds
Olimpia Tegucigalpa - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 54.23%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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Menjivar E. (C) 
Aparicio D. 
Sayago D. 
Queiroz F. 
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