The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olimpia Tegucigalpa 46.6%
Draw 27.6%
Real España 25.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.2%
27%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
27.1%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
The chances for Real España have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real España Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Menjivar E. (C) 23. Alvarez J. 9. Benguche J. 3. Bennett C. 31. Dibble N. 6. Garcia F. 18. Garcia R. 15. Guity K. 2. Hernandez E. 21. Pena K. 8. Rodriguez E.
22. Lopez L. (G) 13. Aceituno M. 10. Benavidez J. 5. Flores F. 8. Garcia A. 6. Garcia D. 11. Hernandez E. 28. Mejia C. 36. Osorto R. 25. Pereira M. 2. Ramos J.
Substitutes
19. Arboleda Y. 24. Bermudez J. 45. Cortes B. 62. David Y. 26. Flores D. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 4. Lobo E. 20. Maldonado A. 39. Ortiz A. 25. Paguada D. 22. Rodriguez O. (G) 69. Romero E.
17. Alvarado M. 19. Aparicio D. 47. Bodden R. 39. Cacho D. 23. Lopez R. (G) 49. Reyes H. (G) 7. Ritacco G. 30. Sayago D. 55. Vega C. 18. Vuelto D. 35. Zavala D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Dibble N. 🟨,
27', Lopez L. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
36', Pena K. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Dibble N. ⚽,
44', Benguche J. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Hernandez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Dibble N. ⚽,
61', Ramos J. ↓, Vuelto D. ↑,
61', Aceituno M. ↓, Cacho D. ↑,
63', Pena K. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
63', Garcia R. ↓, Jean-Baptiste J. ↑,
64', Osorto R. 🟨,
68', Dibble N. ↓, Cortes B. ↑,
69', Vuelto D. 🟨,
72', Jean-Baptiste J. 🟨,
77', Osorto R. ↓, Aparicio D. ↑,
77', Garcia A. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
81', Benguche J. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
81', Alvarez J. ↓, Maldonado A. ↑,
85', 🟨,
88', Menjivar E. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+7', Sayago D. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.
Olimpia has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Real España is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Olimpia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Olimpia has recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:20 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Olimpia against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 23:8 goals (averaging 2.3:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Olimpia
11
8
2
1
23:8
15
26
2
Real Espana
11
7
3
1
19:9
10
24
Last Results with these Odds
Real España - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.81%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Menjivar E. (C) 
Dibble N. 
Aparicio D. 
Ritacco G. 
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