Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti (Bahía Blanca)


	Olimpo Bahia Blanca		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2.05
	3.55	3	2.06
	3.31	3.05	2.02
				Watch
	3.54	3.02	2.06
	3.55	3	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (4.87)	3 ↓ (3.26)	2.05 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
26%

Draw
30%

Sarmiento de La Banda
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

27.8%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

27.5%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpo Bahia Blanca's performance.

Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de La Banda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpo Bahia Blanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de La Banda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Users Predictions: Sarmiento de La Banda will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Ramirez D. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Bernal R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.10.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	9 de Julio - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWLL
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.10.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:3 ✺
06.10.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:0 penalties ✺
29.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTW

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