The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
General San Martín de Formosa 40.7%
Draw 35.1%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 24.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.4%
29%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
28.2%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
General San Martín de Formosa - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G) 11. Alegre G. 5. Bobadilla M. 7. Ceratto L. 4. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 2. Piris O. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R.
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 8. Amarilla C. 4. Bellone A. O. 6. Ferreyra M. 10. Guille B. 3. Lapetina L. 2. Moiraghi N. 7. Olivera M. 11. Ramirez D. 5. Stancato A. 9. Susvielles J.
Substitutes
19. Aquino A. 18. Calo L. 17. Cuevas E. 15. Illanes Machuca F. 14. Leguizamon M. 20. Lopez A. 12. Morichi P. (G) 16. Riquelme R. 13. Sanchez B.
14. Chimino C. 18. Espejo L. 15. Fernandez S. 12. Geist C. (G) 20. Gonzalez F. 17. Hernandez A. 13. Hertel L. 19. Ibarra C. 16. Vargas M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Ceratto L. ⚽,
13', Moiraghi N. 🟨,
14', Guille B. 🟥,
27', 2 - 0, Tapia R. ⚽,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs and 3rd in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs).
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with San Martín Formosa holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, San Martín Formosa has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Martín Formosa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.