Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	General San Martín de Formosa		Olimpo Bahia Blanca

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.2	10
	1.32	4.42	7.61
	1.35	4.52	9.56	Watch
	1.28	4.33	11.5
	1.31	4.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)	4.33 ↑ (3.8)	9.73 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General San Martín de Formosa
69.6%

Draw
21.1%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

24.2%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in General San Martín de Formosa's performance.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpo Bahia Blanca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with General San Martín de Formosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpo Bahia Blanca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

General San Martín de Formosa - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Siergiejuk M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 1 - 1, Acosta R. ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Espejo L. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	General San Martín de Formosa - San Martín de Mendoza	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	San Martín de Mendoza - General San Martín de Formosa	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Sportivo Las Parejas	3:2 ✺
06.09.24	Sportivo Belgrano - General San Martín de Formosa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL
- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	9 de Julio - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0

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