Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Oliveirense		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	1.95
	3.3	3.25	1.98
	3.35	3.35	2
	3.97	3.43	2.03
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.62	3.52	1.94
	3.2	3.3	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	1.99 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
26.5%

Draw
27.5%

Moreirense
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

31.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moreirense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Oliveirense - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Moreirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moreirense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
18.02.23	Trofense - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Oliveirense - Porto B	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Oliveirense - Vilafranquense	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Mafra - Oliveirense	2:3 ✺
21.01.23	Leixões - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LWTWW
- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
19.02.23	Moreirense - BSAD	4:1 ✺
10.02.23	Torreense - Moreirense	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Moreirense - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Vilafranquense - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Covilhã - Moreirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.09.22	Moreirense - Oliveirense	4:1
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Oliveirense - Moreirense	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
10.10.17	Oliveirense - Moreirense	0:0
Portuguese Liga 2
22.01.14	Oliveirense - Moreirense	2:2
01.09.13	Moreirense - Oliveirense	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
27.07.13	Moreirense - Oliveirense	4:0

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