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Current Win Probability
Arsenal 53.7%
Draw 25.3%
Benfica 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.7%
24.6%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
16.7%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-17.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.8%
5.8%
7.4%
Arsenal - Benfica Predictions
Users Predictions:
Arsenal will win
(165 of 190 users predict this - 86.84%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.03% – 91.65%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
2nd leg. Neutral location - Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium. No spectators. 1st leg result: 1-1.
Arsenal was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (69%), has a chance of qtrs (42%), has a chance of semis (25%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
Benfica was already of round of 32, has a chance of round of 16 (31%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Arsenal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Benfica is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Arsenal is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.
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