Match Info

Date: 24 February 2022, Thursday


	Olympiacos Piraeus		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2.15
	3.5	3.4	2.05
	3.5	3.5	2.15
	3.55	3.45	2.04
	3.66	3.39	2.18
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.56	3.58	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.21)	3.43 ↓ (3.52)	2.12 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
27%

Draw
27.9%

Atalanta
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

27.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

18.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympiacos Piraeus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atalanta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	38.3%	36.7%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 15 - 25%). Atalanta will win (votes: 22 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 38.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26% – 50.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg.

Olympiacos has a small chance of round of 16 (11%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Atalanta has a good chance of round of 16 (89%), has a good chance of qtrs (61%), has a chance of semis (34%), has a chance of final (18%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has quality 69, importance 62, match rating 65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Olympiacos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atalanta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atalanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Atalanta have a series of home games.

Atalanta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Olympiacos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
20.02.22	Volos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.02.22	Atalanta - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
Greek Super League
13.02.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	1:0 ✺
Greek Cup
09.02.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panetolikos	3:1 ET ✺
Greek Super League
06.02.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
20.02.22	Fiorentina - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.02.22	Atalanta - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.02.22	Atalanta - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.02.22	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.02.22	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
17.02.22	Atalanta - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1

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