Match Info

Date: 17 February 2022, Thursday


	Atalanta		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	8
	1.43	4.5	7.75
	1.44	4.6	7.5
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.44	4.68	7.96
	1.42	4.4	7.5
	1.46	4.75	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)	4.54 ↑ (4.47)	7.63 ↑ (6.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atalanta
66.5%

Draw
21%

Olympiacos Piraeus
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

21.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

13.5%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-26.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympiacos Piraeus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	9.2%	17.5%

Atalanta - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: 120 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 88 - 73.3%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 21 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 9.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 65.4% – 81.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

1st leg.

Atalanta has a good chance of round of 16 (79%), has a good chance of qtrs (54%), has a chance of semis (30%), has a chance of final (16%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Olympiacos has a chance of round of 16 (21%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 69, importance 58, match rating 64. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Atalanta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olympiacos is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atalanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Atalanta have a series of home games.

In this match Atalanta is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
13.02.22	Atalanta - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.02.22	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.02.22	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
22.01.22	Lazio - Atalanta	0:0 ✺
16.01.22	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLTT
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
13.02.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	1:0 ✺
Greek Cup
09.02.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panetolikos	3:1 ET ✺
Greek Super League
06.02.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:3 ✺
02.02.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panetolikos	3:1 ✺
30.01.22	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWT

Upcoming Matches