Match Info

EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Sport
Belgium	18:45	VOOsport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Brazil	13:45	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	TV2 Sport X
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Germany	18:45	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	18:45	RTL3
Netherlands	18:45	ESPN
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV3
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Olympiacos Piraeus		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.75
	2.45	3.3	2.6
	2.55	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.63	3.45	2.78
	2.64	3.4	2.78
	2.38	3.4	2.62
	2.57	3.3	2.76
	2.55	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.46)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	2.72 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
37.3%

Draw
27.9%

Fenerbahçe
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.7%	40.7%	18.5%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 40.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tzolakis K. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. 16. Carmo D. 3. Ortega F. 32. Hezze S. 6. Chiquinho 7. Fortounis K. (C) 22. Jovetic S. 19. Masouras G. 9. El Kaabi A.	40. Livakovic D. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 2. Soyuncu C. 50. Rodrigo Becao 24. Oosterwolde J. 26. Zajc M. 33. Krunic R. 53. Szymanski S. 17. Kahveci I. C. 9. Dzeko E. (C) 10. Tadic D.
Substitutes
15. Alexandropoulos S. 20. Carvalho J. 11. El Arabi Y. 5. Horta A. 8. Iborra V. 74. Ntoi A. 99. Papadopoulos A. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 18. Quini 27. Richards O.	95. Akcicek Y. 23. Batshuayi M. 19. Bonucci L. 67. Demir D. (G) 90. Dursun M. 70. Egribayat I. C. (G) 94. Fedai C. 35. Fred 7. Kadioglu F. 92. Karayazi E. 11. Kent R. 5. Yuksek I.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Kartal I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Fortounis K. ⚽,
23', Kahveci I. C. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Jovetic S. ⚽, Fortounis K. (A),
45', Oosterwolde J. ↓, Kadioglu F. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 3 - 0, Chiquinho ⚽, El Kaabi A. (A),
62', Zajc M. ↓, Fred ↑,
62', Krunic R. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
67', Retsos P. 🟨,
68', 3 - 1, Tadic D. (Pen),
73', Fred 🟨,
74', 3 - 2, Kahveci I. C. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),
78', Masouras G. 🟨,
82', Jovetic S. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
84', Rodrigo Becao ↓, Bonucci L. ↑,
84', Chiquinho ↓, Iborra V. ↑,
87', El Kaabi A. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
87', Masouras G. ↓, Quini ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Olympiacos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Alexandropoulos S. (Back Injury) Fadiga B. (Injury) Leidner D. (Knee Injury) Podence D. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Fred (Muscle Injury) Luan Peres (Knee Injury) Yandas M. H. (Groin Injury) Yuksek I. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: King J. (Thigh Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Olympiacos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Olympiacos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
07.04.24	Lamia - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:5 ✺
03.04.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	3:0 ✺
31.03.24	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.03.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:6 ET ✺
Greek Super League
10.03.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super Cup
07.04.24	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	Galatasaray awarded ✺
Turkish Super League
03.04.24	Fenerbahçe - Adana Demirspor	4:2 ✺
17.03.24	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.03.24	Fenerbahçe - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
10.03.24	Fenerbahçe - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.11.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - Fenerbahçe	1:0
30.09.21	Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:3
Club Friendly
21.07.15	Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus	3:2
16.08.14	Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1

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