Match Info

Date: 10 March 2022, Thursday


	Olympique Marseille		Basel

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	9
	1.34	5.25	7.75
	1.37	4.9	9
	1.37	5.2	7.4
	1.39	4.97	8.55
	1.55	3.75	5.25
	1.36	5.35	9.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.6)	4.95 ↑ (3.97)	8.09 ↑ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
68.9%

Draw
19.3%

Basel
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

23.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

19.7%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	8.9%	7.1%

Olympique Marseille - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (141 of 168 users predict this - 83.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.38% – 89.48%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Marseille was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (73%), has a chance of semis (36%), has a chance of final (17%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Basel was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 58, importance 62, match rating 60. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Basel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marseille is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
06.03.22	Olympique Marseille - Monaco	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Troyes - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.02.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Olympique Marseille	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.02.22	Olympique Marseille - Clermont	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.02.22	Olympique Marseille - Qarabağ Agdam	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWLW
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
06.03.22	Lugano - Basel	0:2 ✺
03.03.22	Basel - St. Gallen	2:2 ✺
27.02.22	Zürich - Basel	4:2 ✺
19.02.22	Basel - Lausanne-Sport	3:0 ✺
13.02.22	Young Boys - Basel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLWL

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