Match Info

Date: 24 February 2022, Thursday


	Qarabağ Agdam		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.2
	3.6	3.4	1.98
	3.3	3.55	2.15
	3.25	3.4	2.17
	3.43	3.52	2.18
	3.36	3.66	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.62)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	2.15 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
28.3%

Draw
27.3%

Olympique Marseille
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

27.1%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

21%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qarabağ Agdam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Qarabağ Agdam - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg.

Qarabağ has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Marseille has a very good chance of round of 16 (98%), has a good chance of qtrs (57%), has a chance of semis (32%), has a chance of final (16%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 54, importance 56, match rating 55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Qarabağ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Qarabağ have a series of guest games.

Marseille will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.02.22	Olympique Marseille - Qarabağ Agdam	3:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
11.02.22	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	0:6 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
07.02.22	Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
01.02.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Bohemians Dublin	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWW?
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
20.02.22	Olympique Marseille - Clermont	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.02.22	Olympique Marseille - Qarabağ Agdam	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.02.22	Metz - Olympique Marseille	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
09.02.22	Nice - Olympique Marseille	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.02.22	Olympique Marseille - Angers	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
17.02.22	Olympique Marseille - Qarabağ Agdam	3:1

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