Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
France	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Eleven Sports 6
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Olympique Marseille		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	7	Watch
	1.44	4.4	7.25
	1.45	4.4	7.3	Watch
	1.46	4.57	7.88
	1.46	4.57	7.88
	1.4	4.6	7
	1.44	4.6	7.5	Watch
	1.46	4.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)	4.56 ↑ (4.42)	7.38 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
66.1%

Draw
20.9%

Clermont
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

21.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

21%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	3.3%	3.3%

Olympique Marseille - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (84 of 90 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.18% – 98.48%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lopez P. (G) 99. Mbemba Ch. 4. Gigot S. (C) 5. Balerdi L. 62. Murillo M. 27. Veretout J. 19. Kondogbia G. 12. Lodi R. 11. Harit A. 29. Ndiaye I. 10. Aubameyang P.	99. Diaw M. (G) 36. Seidu A. 17. Pelmard A. 5. Caufriez M. 2. Zeffane M. 12. Gonalons M. (C) 6. Keita H. 3. Neto Borges 10. Muhammed Cham 18. Rashani E. 95. Kyei G.
Substitutes
36. Blanco R. (G) 22. Gueye P. 18. Meite A. 24. Mughe F. R. 34. Nadir B. 8. Ounahi A. 23. Sarr I. 37. Soglo E. 9. Vitinha	11. Allevinah J. 9. Andric K. 22. Armougom Y. 91. Bela J. 8. Boutobba B. 15. Konate C. O. 7. Magnin Y. 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 23. Nicholson S.
Coaches
Gattuso G.	Gastien P.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Marseille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Clermont is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Clermont could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marseille is a favorite.

There will not play in Marseille: Clauss J. (Red Card) Correa J. (Ankle Injury) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)

There will not play in Clermont: Berkani S. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Marseille to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
UEFA Europa League
14.12.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.12.23	Lorient - Olympique Marseille	2:4 ✺
06.12.23	Olympique Marseille - Lyon	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Olympique Marseille - Ajax	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
10.12.23	Clermont - Lille	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Brest - Clermont	3:0 ✺
29.11.23	Montpellier - Clermont	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Clermont - Lens	0:3 ✺
12.11.23	Clermont - Lorient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
11.02.23	Clermont - Olympique Marseille	0:2
31.08.22	Olympique Marseille - Clermont	1:0
20.02.22	Olympique Marseille - Clermont	0:2
31.10.21	Clermont - Olympique Marseille	0:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
26.10.16	Clermont - Olympique Marseille	1:2

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