Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fulham		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.85
	3.8	3.7	1.9
	4.15	3.7	1.88
	4.22	3.75	1.9	Watch
	4	3.5	1.85
	4.36	3.85	1.85	Watch
	4.25	3.5	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.5)	3.68 ↑ (3.53)	1.87 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
23.2%

Draw
25.9%

Liverpool
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.4%	11.9%	74.6%

Fulham - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 9 - 13.4%). Liverpool will win (votes: 50 - 74.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 64.2% – 85%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fulham (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Liverpool (votes: 24 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (G) 31. Diop I. 5. Andersen J. 15. Cuenca J. 21. Castagne T. 20. Lukic S. 10. Cairney T. (C) 33. Robinson A. 8. Wilson H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 7. Jimenez R.	1. Alisson (G) 12. Bradley C. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 17. Jones C. 8. Szoboszlai D. 10. Mac Allister A. 7. Wirtz F. 18. Gakpo C.
Substitutes
35. Amissah S. 16. Berge S. 22. Kevin 18. Kusi Asare J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 40. McNally A. (G) 6. Reed H. 38. Ridgeon S. 11. Traore A.	14. Chiesa F. 30. Frimpong J. 2. Gomez J. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 47. Ramsay C. 26. Robertson A. 28. Woodman F. (G)
Coaches
Silva M.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Wilson H. ⚽, Jimenez R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, Wirtz F. ⚽, Bradley C. (A),
71', Wilson H. 🟨,
74', Cairney T. ↓, Berge S. ↑,
74', Smith Rowe E. ↓, Kevin ↑,
76', Wirtz F. ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,
85', Wilson H. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
85', Jimenez R. ↓, Kusi Asare J. ↑,
85', Jones C. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
90+2', Lukic S. ↓, Reed H. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Gakpo C. ⚽,
90+5', Gakpo C. 🟨,
90+6', Gakpo C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Reed H. ⚽, Kevin (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 1.

Fulham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Liverpool is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fulham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fulham has had a series of away games.

In this match, Liverpool is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fulham: Bassey C. (International duty) Chukwueze S. (International duty) Iwobi A. (International duty) Rodrigo Muniz (Hamstring Injury) Sessegnon R. (Hamstring Injury) Tete K. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Endo W. (Ankle Injury) Gomez J. (Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Salah M. (International duty) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: King J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.5:2.1).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Liverpool: 6.88% Fulham: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7:4	3	9
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5:8	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
01.01.26	Crystal Palace - Fulham	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	West Ham United - Fulham	0:1 ✺
22.12.25	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
17.12.25	Newcastle United - Fulham	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
13.12.25	Burnley - Fulham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWLW
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
01.01.26	Liverpool - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Liverpool - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Inter Milan - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
06.04.25	Fulham - Liverpool	3:2
14.12.24	Liverpool - Fulham	2:2
21.04.24	Fulham - Liverpool	1:3
English League Cup
24.01.24	Fulham - Liverpool	1:1
10.01.24	Liverpool - Fulham	2:1
English Premier League
03.12.23	Liverpool - Fulham	4:3
03.05.23	Liverpool - Fulham	1:0

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