Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Anfield (Liverpool)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Zambia	ZNBC 3


	Liverpool		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	12
	1.23	7	11.5
	1.25	6.83	12.24	Watch
	1.22	6	11
	1.25	6.79	12.5	Watch
	1.25	6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.22)	6.52 ↓ (6.75)	11.87 ↓ (12.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
77.3%

Draw
14.7%

Burnley
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78%

14.1%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.8%	6.2%

Liverpool - Burnley Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1, 1st Half - Burnley (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Burnley (3.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Burnley (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Liverpool (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (51 of 64 users predict this - 79.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.83% – 89.55%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Burnley (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 30. Frimpong J. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 17. Jones C. 8. Szoboszlai D. 7. Wirtz F. 18. Gakpo C. 22. Ekitike H.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 6. Tuanzebe A. 5. Esteve M. 12. Humphreys B. 2. Walker K. (C) 8. Ugochukwu L. 16. Florentino 23. Lucas Pires 10. Edwards M. 11. Anthony J. 27. Broja A.
Substitutes
14. Chiesa F. 3. Endo W. 2. Gomez J. 10. Mac Allister A. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 47. Ramsay C. 26. Robertson A.	35. Barnes A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 18. Ekdal H. 9. Foster L. 3. Hartman Q. 29. Laurent J. 28. Mejbri H. 17. Tchaouna L. 13. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Slot A.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Szoboszlai D. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Kerkez M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Wirtz F. ⚽, Jones C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, Edwards M. ⚽, Florentino (A),
74', Esteve M. ↓, Ekdal H. ↑,
74', Broja A. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
78', Gakpo C. ↓, Ngumoha R. ↑,
78', Gravenberch R. ↓, Mac Allister A. ↑,
78', Kerkez M. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
85', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
87', Jones C. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
90', Florentino ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
90', Edwards M. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
90+1', Barnes A. 🟨,
90+2', Humphreys B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 5.

Liverpool is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burnley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Burnley has had a series of home games.

In this match, Liverpool is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Endo W. (Ankle Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Salah M. (Rest) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Flemming Z. (Knock) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Worrall J. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:11. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Liverpool: 7.96%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7:4	3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English FA Cup
12.01.26	Liverpool - Barnsley	4:1 ✺
English Premier League
08.01.26	Arsenal - Liverpool	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Fulham - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Liverpool - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Liverpool - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTTW
- Burnley FC
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Burnley - Millwall	5:1 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Burnley - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Burnley - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Burnley - Everton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.09.25	Burnley - Liverpool	0:1
10.02.24	Liverpool - Burnley	3:1
26.12.23	Burnley - Liverpool	0:2
13.02.22	Burnley - Liverpool	0:1
21.08.21	Liverpool - Burnley	2:0
19.05.21	Burnley - Liverpool	0:3
21.01.21	Liverpool - Burnley	0:1

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