Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Ecuador	14:45	ESPN 4
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 3
Israel	21:45	5 STARS Israel
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	22:45	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	01:45	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	13:45	FOX One
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Nigeria	20:45	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Russia	22:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	21:45	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
South Korea	04:45	Coupang Play
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	22:45	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Vietnam	02:45	ON Plus, TV 360
International	19:45	Onefootball


	Brest		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.95	3.55	1.95	Watch
	4.05	3.91	1.9
	3.9	3.84	1.89	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.85
	4.06	3.96	1.94	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (3.92)	3.75 ↑ (3.71)	1.9 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
24.4%

Draw
25.4%

Olympique Marseille
50.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

25.4%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.5%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.9%	10.9%	78.2%

Brest - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Brest (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (43 of 55 users predict this - 78.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.26% – 89.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Marseille (votes: 13 - 86.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 27. Guindo D. 8. Magnetti H. 13. Chotard J. 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 19. Ajorque L.	1. Rulli G. (G) 22. Weah T. 28. Pavard B. 21. Aguerd N. 33. Emerson 23. Hojbjerg P. (C) 10. Greenwood M. 18. Vermeeren A. 27. Timber Q. 14. Paixao I. 9. Gouiri A.
Substitutes
44. Coulibaly S. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 71. Le Guen R. 2. Locko B. 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 24. Tousart L. 12. Zogbe L.	8. Abdelli H. 17. Aubameyang P. 12. De Lange J. (G) 4. Egan-Riley C. 19. Kondogbia G. 32. Medina F. 26. Nadir B. 11. Nwaneri E. 20. Traore H. J.
Coaches
Roy E.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽, Magnetti H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vermeeren A. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
67', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,
71', Ajorque L. 🟨,
71', Paixao I. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
71', Gouiri A. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
73', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
79', Timber Q. 🟨,
79', Timber Q. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
79', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
82', Greenwood M. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Del Castillo R. ↓, Locko B. ↑,
89', Hojbjerg P. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
90', Nwaneri E. 🟨,
90+6', Nadir B. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Marseille could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Injury) Coulibaly S. (Thigh Injury) Locko B. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:32. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Marseille	8	4	0	4	18:13	5	12
13	Brest	8	2	3	3	14:12	2	9

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Marseille: 0.89% Brest: 0.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
14.02.26	Lille - Brest	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Brest - Lorient	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Nice - Brest	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Brest - Toulouse	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Lyon - Brest	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTLL
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
14.02.26	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	5:0 ✺
Coupe De France
03.02.26	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Paris FC - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.11.25	Olympique Marseille - Brest	3:0
27.04.25	Olympique Marseille - Brest	4:1
17.08.24	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:5
18.02.24	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:0
26.08.23	Olympique Marseille - Brest	2:0
27.05.23	Olympique Marseille - Brest	1:2
14.08.22	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:1

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