Match Info

J2 League - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Soyu Stadium (Akita) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	13:00	K-Ball
Japan	14:00	DAZN Japan


	Blaublitz Akita		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.20	2.32
	2.80	2.95	2.35
	2.95	3.15	2.30	Watch
	3.14	3.11	2.51
	3.22	3.15	2.29	Watch
	3.10	3.05	2.40
	2.93	3.23	2.40	Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.18)	3.12 (3.12)	2.37 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blaublitz Akita
31%

Draw
29.8%

Sagan Tosu
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

27.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blaublitz Akita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Blaublitz Akita - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yamada G. (C) 22. Takahashi H. 3. Iizumi R. 17. Nonomura T. 5. Nagai K. 14. Oishi R. 66. Doi K. 25. Fujiyama T. 77. Nakano Y. 34. Suzuki S. 18. Handa K.	12. Matsubara S. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 44. Abe K. 33. Ogawa S. 28. Yoshida M. 21. Toyoda A. 24. Yamauchi K. 7. Sakamoto K. 16. Nishizawa K. (C) 47. Izawa R. 9. Takahashi T.
Substitutes
24. Aihara S. 32. Hasegawa T. 38. Hill C. (G) 27. Iwai T. 7. Mizutani T. 9. Nakamura R. 4. Okano J. 11. Sagawa K. 8. Umeda K.	26. Ando T. 42. Goto H. 18. Hyon R. 1. Izumori R. (G) 13. Jojo K. 2. Matsumoto N. 37. Morishita R. 20. Nakahara H. 43. Yoshino K.
Coaches
Yoshida K.	Kogiku A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Yamauchi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yamauchi K. ↓, Matsumoto N. ↑,
46', Izawa R. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
48', Takahashi H. 🟨,
61', Matsumoto N. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Nonomura T. ⚽, Nakano Y. (A),
71', Toyoda A. ↓, Goto H. ↑,
71', Nakano Y. ↓, Hasegawa T. ↑,
71', Oishi R. ↓, Iwai T. ↑,
77', Handa K. ↓, Aihara S. ↑,
79', Nishizawa K. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
87', Yoshida M. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
88', Suzuki S. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
88', Doi K. ↓, Mizutani T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 12th and 17th).

Blaublitz Akita has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Tosu has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Blaublitz Akita could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Tosu is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Blaublitz Akita has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Blaublitz Akita against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sagan Tosu	13	5	2	6	14:15	-1	17
13	Blaublitz	13	4	4	5	14:14	0	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Blaublitz Akita - Albirex Niigata	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Shonan Bellmare - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Blaublitz Akita - Tokushima Vortis	4:1 ✺
06.09.26	Blaublitz Akita - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Ehime - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWTL
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Sagan Tosu - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Vissel Kobe - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Sagan Tosu - Iwaki	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Imabari - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
18.10.25	Sagan Tosu - Blaublitz Akita	1:0
17.05.25	Blaublitz Akita - Sagan Tosu	1:2

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