Match Info

Emperors Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)


	Sagan Tosu		Ehime

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2
	1.58	3.5	5
	2.18	3.3	3.1
	1.7	3.46	5.1	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.5
	2.27	3.17	3.38
	2.18	3.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.68)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	4.05 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagan Tosu
48.2%

Draw
28.5%

Ehime
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

27.1%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

26.2%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sagan Tosu's form might have worsened.

Ehime has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ehime's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sagan Tosu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ehime, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Sagan Tosu - Ehime Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tosu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ehime (2.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ehime (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sagan Tosu will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tosu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ehime (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Uchiyama K. (G) 26. Ando T. 44. Horigome Y. 9. Jo 23. Kitajima F. 2. Matsumoto N. 37. Morishita R. 11. Nishikawa J. 27. Sakurai T. 91. Uehara M. 48. Yuya K.	1. Tokushige K. (G) 90. Arthur Viana 9. Duncan B. 16. Hosoya K. 37. Ishio R. 26. Kanazawa K. 3. Marcel Scalese 44. Moriyama K. 18. Taguchi Y. 15. Tsuruno R. 48. Yukutomo T.
Substitutes
4. Imazu Y. 13. Inoue T. 12. Izumori R. (G) 22. Matsuda E. 8. Narahara Y. 33. Nishiya K. 19. Suzuki D. 49. Toriyoshi I. 34. Yamada H.	27. Funahashi K. 24. Koda H. 2. Konno I. 13. Kubota R. 17. Murakami Y. 10. Sato R. 6. Tanioka M. 36. Tsuji S. (G) 25. Yoshida H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Marcel Scalese 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yuya K. ↓, Inoue T. ↑,
67', 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Suzuki D. ⚽,
71', Hosoya K. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
74', 🟨,
80', Taguchi Y. ↓, Funahashi K. ↑,
90+2', Duncan B. 🟥,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Tosu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ehime has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tosu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tosu is considered a favorite.

We predict that Tosu will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tosu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Including home match between the teams, Tosu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Ehime	2:2 ✺
25.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Blaublitz Akita - Sagan Tosu	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
06.05.25	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWTW
- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
08.06.25	Omiya Ardija - Ehime	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Ehime	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Ehime - Mitsubishi Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
18.05.25	Ehime - Tokushima Vortis	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Ehime	2:2

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