Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Omonia		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	2
	4	3.5	1.95
	3.85	3.6	1.95
	3.9	3.4	1.92
	3.91	3.46	2.04
	3.9	3.3	2
	3.98	3.52	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (4.22)	3.47 ↓ (3.97)	1.99 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omonia
24.5%

Draw
27.5%

PSV Eindhoven
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

23.9%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

19.3%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSV Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Omonia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	8.7%	81.2%

Omonia - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (130 of 160 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.2% – 87.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Omonia has a chance of round of 32 (18%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

PSV has a chance of round of 32 (44%), has a chance of round of 16 (16%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Omonia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches PSV is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

PSV will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
25.10.20	Omonia - Enosis Neon Paralimni	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	PAOK - Omonia	1:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.10.20	Ethnikos Achna - Omonia	1:2 ✺
04.10.20	Omonia - AEL Limassol	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.09.20	Omonia - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTWWT
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.20	Vitesse - PSV Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	PSV Eindhoven - Granada	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.20	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	0:3 ✺
04.10.20	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Rosenborg - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWW

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