Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	PSV Eindhoven		Granada

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.3
	2.3	3.25	3.3
	2.3	3.3	3.3
	2.35	3.15	3.05
	2.4	3.29	3.2
	2.35	3.2	3.1
	2.42	3.32	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.06)	3.26 ↓ (3.44)	3.21 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
40.9%

Draw
29.3%

Granada
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

18.2%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSV Eindhoven that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Granada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66%	16.5%	17.5%

PSV Eindhoven - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 97 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 64 - 66%). Granada will win (votes: 17 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 16.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 56.6% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

PSV has a good chance of round of 32 (54%), has a chance of round of 16 (22%), has a small chance of qtrs (9%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Granada has a good chance of round of 32 (80%), has a chance of round of 16 (43%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

PSV in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Granada is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently PSV have a series of guest games.

PSV will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.20	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	0:3 ✺
04.10.20	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Rosenborg - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.20	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Mura - PSV Eindhoven	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTW
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
17.10.20	Granada - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Cádiz - Granada	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Malmö - Granada	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
27.09.20	Atlético Madrid - Granada	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Granada - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWLW

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