Match Info

USL League One

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	One Knoxville		Texoma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	4.85	7.9
	1.29	5.01	8.89
	1.36	4.60	8.09	Watch
	1.26	4.95	9.7
	1.44	4	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)	4.68 ↑ (4.18)	8.18 ↑ (6.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
69.2%

Draw
19.6%

Texoma
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

21.7%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.9%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

One Knoxville - Texoma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 26. Brown J. 4. Skelton J. 3. Haugli S. 22. Ritchie S. 6. Caputo A. 12. Johnson C. 11. Calixtro G. 10. Tekiela K. 77. Rosamilia N. 7. Diene B.	13. Garcia J. (G) 2. Valentine R. 12. Chavez J. (C) 27. Staszewski P. 24. Jordan J. 3. Ramos O. 23. Baker T. 16. Mason D. 10. Spengler P. 22. Perkins W. 7. McManus B.
Substitutes
13. Bull 25. Garibay J. (G) 17. Goling M. 8. Kelly-Rosales A. 33. Meek L. 2. Thomas J. 21. Zarokostas S.	18. Flowers A. 6. Gray L. 30. Jawneh L. 1. McCready M. 15. Mfanafikile D. 9. Pepi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Spengler P. 🟨,
45+1', Staszewski P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Valentine R. 🟨,
52', 🟨,
55', Baker T. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Tekiela K. ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, Baker T. ⚽,
63', Rosamilia N. ↓, Goling M. ↑,
63', Calixtro G. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Diene B. ⚽, Zarokostas S. (A),
68', Haugli S. 🟨,
71', Diene B. 🟥,
71', Mason D. 🟥,
75', Zarokostas S. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
77', Ramos O. 🟨,
86', McManus B. ↓, Flowers A. ↑,
86', Ramos O. ↓, Pepi D. ↑,
86', Tekiela K. ↓, Meek L. ↑,
87', Brown J. ↓, Bull ↑,
87', Johnson C. ↓, Kelly-Rosales A. ↑,

Preview

One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )

One Knoxville is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Texoma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, One Knoxville is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
10.10.25	One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Richmond Kickers - One Knoxville	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWT
- Texoma FC
USL League One
11.10.25	Texoma - Richmond Kickers	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Texoma - AV Alta	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Texoma	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Westchester SC - Texoma	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Texoma - Spokane Velocity	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
22.03.25	Texoma - One Knoxville	0:2

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