Match Info

USL League One

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sherman Bearcat Stadium (Sherman, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Texoma		Richmond Kickers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	3.45	2.15
	2.77	3.56	2.31
	3.10	3.51	2.14	Watch
	2.84	3.48	2.18
	2.14	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.17)	3.5 ↑ (3.41)	2.32 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texoma
33.8%

Draw
26.3%

Richmond Kickers
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

26.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Texoma's form might have worsened.

Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Richmond Kickers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Texoma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Richmond Kickers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Texoma - Richmond Kickers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Richmond Kickers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 12. Chavez J. (C) 5. Calfo A. 2. Valentine R. 3. Ramos O. 24. Jordan J. 10. Spengler P. 23. Baker T. 30. Jawneh L. 7. McManus B.	35. Sneddon J. (G) 4. Fitch S. (C) 25. Lage M. 34. Howell B. 5. Schenfeld M. 27. O'Dwyer C. 9. Kirkland J. 20. Billhardt A. 10. Seufert N. 19. Espinal D. 32. Terzaghi E.
Substitutes
28. Cristales L. 18. Flowers A. 25. Iamarino D. 4. Kilwien P. 16. Mason D. 1. McCready M. 35. Padilla B. 9. Pepi D. 27. Staszewski P.	3. Anderson H. 6. Baer R. 38. Garnett G. 1. Jara P. (G) 7. Johnson L. 42. Kahl G. 18. Kanagwa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Valentine R. 🟨,
28', O'Dwyer C. (Pen),
34', Calfo A. ↓, Flowers A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Schenfeld M. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, McManus B. ⚽, Spengler P. (A),
61', Terzaghi E. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
61', Billhardt A. ↓, Kanagwa J. ↑,
61', Jawneh L. ↓, Padilla B. ↑,
64', Jordan J. 🟨,
67', Garcia J. 🟨,
78', McManus B. ↓, Mason D. ↑,
79', Howell B. 🟨,
81', Schenfeld M. ↓, Kahl G. ↑,
81', Espinal D. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
85', O'Dwyer C. ↓, Baer R. ↑,
89', Seufert N. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Texoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texoma FC
USL League One
04.10.25	Texoma - AV Alta	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Texoma	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Westchester SC - Texoma	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Texoma - Spokane Velocity	3:3 ✺
06.09.25	Union Omaha - Texoma	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLTL
- Richmond Kickers
USL League One
04.10.25	Richmond Kickers - One Knoxville	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence	2:3 ✺
17.09.25	Richmond Kickers - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:5 ✺
13.09.25	Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
07.06.25	Richmond Kickers - Texoma	1:2

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