Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Portugal	Sport TV
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	Braga		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4.2
	1.8	3.5	4.6
	1.8	3.6	4.8
	1.81	3.55	4.6
	1.93	3.48	4.47
	1.8	3.4	4.75
	1.81	3.6	4.9
	1.82	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)	3.53 ↓ (3.56)	4.63 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
52.2%

Draw
27.1%

Saint-Gilloise
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Braga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	13.7%	12.5%

Braga - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 59 - 73.8%). Union SG will win (votes: 10 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 64.2% – 83.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Braga has currently - 6, has a good chance of 1st (66%), has a chance of 2nd (25%), has a small chance of 3rd (9%), has a good chance of round of 16 (75%), has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Union SG has currently - 6, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (44%), has a chance of 3rd (28%), has a chance of round of 16 (36%), has a small chance of qtrs (9%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 59, importance 54, match rating 57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Braga is a favorite.

There will not play in Union SG: Eckert Ayensa D. (Injury) Machida K. (Hip Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
30.09.22	Porto - Braga	4:1 ✺
18.09.22	Braga - Vizela	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Braga - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.09.22	Rio Ave - Braga	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Malmö - Braga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.10.22	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
18.09.22	Eupen - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Saint-Gilloise - Malmö	3:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.09.22	Saint-Gilloise - Genk	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWLW

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