Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 10

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Operário Ferroviario		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.2
	2.55	2.7	3.2
	2.63	2.85	3.25
	2.61	2.7	3.21
	2.5	2.8	3.1
	2.6	2.83	3.11	Watch
	2.55	2.7	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.68)	2.79 ↓ (3.03)	3.2 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
37.2%

Draw
33.6%

Athletico Paranaense
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

29.9%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Operário Ferroviario - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Elias Curzel (G) 72. Thales Oleques 93. Allan Godoi 30. Joseph 90. Cristiano 20. Fransergio 8. Zuluaga J. 7. Rodrigo Rodrigues 10. Boschilia (C) 32. Marcos Paulo 89. Daniel Amorim	1. Mycael (G) 14. Moraes K. 28. Habraao 3. Leo (C) 37. Esquivel L. 88. Patrick 98. Falcao 5. Felipinho 19. Luiz Fernando 70. Renan Peixoto 57. Joao Cruz
Substitutes
99. Ademilson 2. Diogo Mateus 77. Filipe Claudino 27. Gabriel Feliciano 5. Indio 16. Miranda 88. Neto Paraiba 36. Nilson Junior 70. Pedro Lucas 97. Ronald 33. Vagner (G) 9. Vinicius Mingotti	27. Alan Kardec 45. Belezi 4. Figueiredo T. 8. Giuliano 61. Leo Derik 21. Leozinho 42. Mateus Soares (G) 15. Peralta F. 31. Raul 23. Santos (G) 30. Tevis 10. Zapelli B.
Coaches
Bruno Pivetti	Hellmann O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Rodrigo Rodrigues ⚽,
23', Habraao 🟨,
26', 2 - 1, Marcos Paulo ⚽,
30', Fransergio 🟨,
39', Moraes K. 🟨,
43', Thales Oleques 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Patrick ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
57', Joao Cruz ↓, Giuliano ↑,
59', Daniel Amorim ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Giuliano ⚽,
65', Fransergio 🟨,
65', 🟨,
68', Marcos Paulo ↓, Ademilson ↑,
69', Boschilia ↓, Indio ↑,
76', Moraes K. ↓, Tevis ↑,
80', Thales Oleques ↓, Diogo Mateus ↑,
80', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
85', Renan Peixoto ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Operário PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Athletico PR has had a series of home games.

Operário PR could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Operário PR: Jean Lucas (Injury)

There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki (Injury) Julimar (Knee Injury) Leozinho (Inactive) Palacios H. (Inactive) Velasco K. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Filipe Claudino (Inactive) Lucas Wingert (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
25.05.25	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Vasco da Gama - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
17.05.25	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	3:0 ✺
11.05.25	Cuiabá - Operário Ferroviario	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLWWW
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B
24.05.25	Athletico Paranaense - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Athletico Paranaense - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
17.05.25	Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Athletico Paranaense - Botafogo SP	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
22.01.25	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
27.03.24	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
16.03.24	Operário Ferroviario - Athletico Paranaense	1:2
15.02.24	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
11.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	3:1
27.02.22	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:2
17.04.21	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	0:4

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