Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 6

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Ligga Arena (Curitiba)

Referee: Correia B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Athletico Paranaense		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7	Watch
	1.38	4.2	7.75
	1.41	4.2	8.2
	1.4	4.38	9.51
	1.41	4.11	8.94	Watch
	1.4	4	8.5
	1.39	4.3	9.15	Watch
	1.41	4.2	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	4.24 ↑ (4.15)	8.41 ↑ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
66.8%

Draw
22.1%

Botafogo SP
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

22.4%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Athletico Paranaense - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Athletico PR (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mycael (G) 31. Raul 28. Habraao 4. Figueiredo T. 6. Fernando 98. Falcao 88. Patrick 10. Zapelli B. 19. Luiz Fernando (C) 70. Renan Peixoto 30. Tevis	1. Victor Souza (G) 3. Alisson Cassiano 5. Carlao 4. Rafael Milhorim 8. Abdulai S. 2. Jefferson Nem 7. Dramisino A. 10. Maciel L. (C) 6. Risso G. 9. Alexandre Jesus 11. Jonathan Cafu
Substitutes
27. Alan Kardec 65. Arthur Dias 45. Belezi 5. Felipinho 8. Giuliano 11. Isaac 57. Joao Cruz 3. Leo 61. Leo Derik 15. Peralta F. 23. Santos (G) 7. Velasco K.	19. Carrillo R. 15. Edson 14. Ericson 16. Gabriel Bispo 12. Joao Carlos (G) 18. Matheus Regis 20. Pablo Thomaz 17. Robinho 13. Wallison
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', Habraao 🟥,
12', Zapelli B. ↓, Leo ↑,
16', 1 - 0, Tevis ⚽,
21', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Maciel L. (Pen),
31', Jefferson Nem 🟨,
43', Carlao 🟨,
45+2', Falcao 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 2, Jonathan Cafu ⚽,
45+7', Jonathan Cafu 🟨,
45+9', Figueiredo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Renan Peixoto ↓, Isaac ↑,
46', Jefferson Nem ↓, Wallison ↑,
46', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
46', Carlao ↓, Edson ↑,
49', Dramisino A. 🟨,
60', 1 - 3, Alexandre Jesus ⚽, Maciel L. (A),
62', Dramisino A. ↓, Gabriel Bispo ↑,
65', Luiz Fernando ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
66', Fernando ↓, Velasco K. ↑,
66', Tevis ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
68', 1 - 4, Alexandre Jesus ⚽, Gabriel Bispo (A2),
74', Alisson Cassiano ↓, Ericson ↑,
76', Isaac 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Botafogo SP's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Athletico PR is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Brusque - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Athletico Paranaense - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
10.04.25	Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWLW
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
28.04.25	Botafogo SP - Goiás	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Vila Nova - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Botafogo SP - Remo	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Botafogo SP - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	América Mineiro - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL

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