Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 37

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV 2, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Operário Ferroviario		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.7	3	Watch
	2.55	2.7	2.95
	2.65	2.8	3	Watch
	2.73	2.84	3.12
	2.72	2.69	3.07
	2.6	2.7	3.1
	2.7	2.65	3.16	Watch
	2.65	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.93)	2.74 ↓ (2.83)	3.05 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
35.1%

Draw
34.2%

Mirassol
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

32.9%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

32.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Operário Ferroviario - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 72. Thales Oleques 30. Joseph 4. Willian Machado 6. Para 8. Vinicius Diniz 55. Jacy (C) 16. Boschilia 31. Ronald 99. Daniel Lima 7. Rodrigo Farofa	23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 37. Zeca 25. Neto Moura 27. Gabriel (C) 8. Danielzinho 77. Iury Castilho 49. Dellatorre 7. Fernandinho
Substitutes
14. Borech 11. Felipe Augusto 38. Filipe Claudino 27. Gabriel Feliciano 5. Indio 51. Lopes G. (G) 20. Nathan Fogaca 88. Neto Paraiba 2. Ocampos S. 70. Pedro Lucas 19. Rodrigo Lindoso 90. Ronaldo	2. Alex Silva 16. Bruno Matias 10. Chico Kim 29. Cristian Renato 99. Leo Gamalho 3. Lucas Gazal 90. Thomazella (G) 1. Vanderlei (G) 31. Ze Mario
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Jacy 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Para ⚽,
44', Boschilia 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ronald ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
46', Boschilia ↓, Pedro Lucas ↑,
59', Fernandinho ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
64', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Rodrigo Lindoso ↑,
66', Zeca ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
66', Gabriel ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
66', Daniel Lima ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
70', Para ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
77', Lucas Ramon ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
77', Dellatorre ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Iury Castilho ⚽,
90', Iury Castilho 🟨,
90+3', Joseph 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Recent matches Operário PR is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mirassol in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Operário PR will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Operário PR: Fagner Alemao (Injury) Talles (Injury) Vinicius Mingotti (Injury)

There will not play in Mirassol: Negueba (Injury) PH (Injury)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Dudu Scheit (Injury) Gui Azevedo (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Operário PR won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.11.24	Estrela Vendas Novas - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.11.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
04.11.24	Operário Ferroviario - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.24	Operário Ferroviario - Fabril do Barreiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
29.10.24	Goiás - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWLL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
10.11.24	Avaí - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
05.11.24	Mirassol - Coritiba	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
22.10.24	CRB Maceio - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Mirassol - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.07.24	Mirassol - Operário Ferroviario	1:0

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