Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 7

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol


	Mirassol		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.7	6	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5.5
	1.65	3.55	5.4
	1.66	3.81	6.19
	1.63	3.78	5.91	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.5
	1.65	3.81	5.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	3.71 ↑ (3.7)	5.76 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
57.9%

Draw
25.6%

Coritiba
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

24.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Mirassol - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Walter (G) 32. Igor Formiga 34. Joao Victor 3. Willian Machado 12. Victor Luis 25. Neto Moura (C) 21. Jose Aldo 77. Alesson 18. Gabriel Pires 11. Negueba 29. Tiquinho Soares	12. Pedro Rangel (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 23. Tiago Coser 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 29. Willian Oliveira 19. Gomez S. (C) 6. Felipe Jonatan 11. Lucas Ronier 32. Pedro Rocha 7. Lavega J.
Substitutes
23. Alex Muralha (G) 99. Andre Luis 96. Carlos Eduardo 20. Daniel Borges 8. Denilson 95. Edson Carioca 17. Everton Galdino 27. Galeano A. 2. Lucas Oliveira 9. Nathan Fogaca 7. Shaylon 5. Yuri Lara	77. Breno Lopes 14. Enzo Vagner 28. Fabinho 88. Fernando Sobral 10. Josue 13. Keiller (G) 20. Keno 3. Maicon 21. Thiago Santos 2. Tinga 36. Vini Paulista 8. Wallisson
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Fernando Seabra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Victor Luis 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Victor Luis ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
46', Lucas Ronier ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
46', Gomez S. ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
58', Felipe Jonatan ↓, Maicon ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Lavega J. ⚽,
67', Willian Oliveira ↓, Wallisson ↑,
67', Neto Moura ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
67', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
67', Alesson ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
69', Lavega J. 🟨,
79', Lavega J. ↓, Josue ↑,
79', Gabriel Pires ↓, Shaylon ↑,
82', Jose Aldo 🟨,
90+3', Josue 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Mirassol is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Coritiba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mirassol is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Mirassol: Eduardo (Injury) Igor Carius (Injury)

There will not play in Coritiba: Benassi (Inactive) Jacy (Injury) Pedro Morisco (Injury) Rodrigo Rodrigues (Ankle Injury) Tinga (Injury)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Renato Marques (Inactive)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Lucas Crepaldi (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Coritiba: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Coritiba	29	10	8	11	37:47	-10	38
15	Mirassol	29	8	9	12	34:43	-9	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
15.03.26	Palmeiras - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Mirassol - Santos	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	Mirassol - Portuguesa	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.02.26	Mirassol - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.26	Capivariano - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
15.03.26	Coritiba - Remo	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Corinthians - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Coritiba - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
21.02.26	Coritiba - Operário Ferroviario	2:3 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.11.24	Mirassol - Coritiba	4:1
19.07.24	Coritiba - Mirassol	0:1

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