Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 33

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV 3, Vivo Play, Zapping


	CRB Maceio		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.8	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.6
	2.25	2.85	3.6
	2.29	2.85	3.97
	2.25	2.8	3.79	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.6
	2.19	2.97	3.68	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.55)	2.85 ↑ (2.82)	3.71 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
42%

Draw
32.8%

Mirassol
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

33.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

35.1%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CRB Maceio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

CRB Maceio - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 4. Saimon 37. Wanderson 13. Willian Formiga 98. Falcao 30. Labandeira F. 33. Joao Pedro 8. Gege 38. Leo Pereira 9. Anselmo Ramon (C)	23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 37. Zeca 8. Danielzinho 25. Neto Moura 27. Gabriel (C) 11. Negueba 49. Dellatorre 7. Fernandinho
Substitutes
14. Chay 99. Getulio 26. Gustavo Henrique 75. Kleiton 35. Marco Antonio 2. Matheus Ribeiro 10. Rafael Bilu 16. Rai 17. Romulo 66. Ryan Carlos 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G)	2. Alex Silva 16. Bruno Matias 10. Chico Kim 29. Cristian Renato 77. Iury Castilho 99. Leo Gamalho 3. Lucas Gazal 32. Rodrigo Andrade 1. Vanderlei (G)
Coaches
Helio dos Anjos	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Willian Formiga ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
49', Wanderson ↓, Gustavo Henrique ↑,
57', Falcao 🟨,
65', Falcao ↓, Romulo ↑,
65', Labandeira F. ↓, Kleiton ↑,
69', Negueba ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
69', Fernandinho ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
69', Neto Moura ↓, Rodrigo Andrade ↑,
71', Gege ↓, Chay ↑,
76', Dellatorre ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
76', Gabriel ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
79', Anselmo Ramon 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Iury Castilho ⚽, Danielzinho (A),

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

CRB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches CRB won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
18.10.24	Brusque - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Guarani - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	CRB Maceio - Paysandu	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWT
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
19.10.24	Mirassol - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	Santos - Mirassol	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Mirassol - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Mirassol - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Goiás - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.07.24	Mirassol - CRB Maceio	1:0
28.09.23	Mirassol - CRB Maceio	1:0
07.06.23	CRB Maceio - Mirassol	2:0

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