Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday


	Operário Ferroviario		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.6
	2.14	2.65	3.8	Watch
	2.14	2.75	3.8
	2.26	2.87	4.11
	2.2	2.75	3.75
	2.2	2.99	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.11)	2.8 ↓ (3.05)	3.79 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
42.5%

Draw
33.1%

Vitória Salvador
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

30.3%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

20.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Operário Ferroviario that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	46.7%	20%

Operário Ferroviario - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Vitória will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Operário Ferroviario could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Operário Ferroviario will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Operário Ferroviario won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Operário Ferroviario won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.08.21	Operário Ferroviario - Sintrense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.08.21	Guarani - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
21.08.21	Operário Ferroviario - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
18.08.21	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
15.08.21	Operário Ferroviario - Brusque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWTT
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
29.08.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	Vitória Salvador - Guarani	1:0 ✺
18.08.21	Vila Nova - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
15.08.21	Vitória Salvador - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
11.08.21	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.06.21	Vitória Salvador - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
03.01.21	Vitória Salvador - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
02.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Vitória Salvador	1:1
19.11.19	Operário Ferroviario - Vitória Salvador	1:2
24.08.19	Vitória Salvador - Operário Ferroviario	0:0

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