The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ceará 42.9%
Draw 29.8%
Vasco da Gama 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
29.3%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
29.8%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
18.2%
0%
Ceará - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 59% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Ceará (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ceará will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceará (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 70. Fabiano 3. Marllon 23. Willian Machado 79. Matheus Bahia 20. Diego 88. Fernando Sobral 10. Lucas Mugni 11. Aylon 9. Pedro Raul 27. Galeano A.
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 38. Joao Victor 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 25. Hugo Moura 18. Paulinho Paula 10. Payet D. 15. Garre B. 99. Vegetti P. 17. Moreira N.
Substitutes
33. Eder 16. Fernando Miguel (G) 80. Guilherme Luiz 99. Lele 97. Lourenco 31. Lucas Lima 44. Marcos Victor 22. Martinez A. 8. Matheus Araujo 40. Ramon Menezes 2. Ramos R. 19. Romulo
28. Adson 90. Alex Teixeira 45. Augusto L. 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 8. Jair 21. Jean David 44. Luiz Gustavo 85. Mateus Carvalho 22. Paulinho 77. Rayan 5. Souza 12. Victor Luis
Coaches
Leo Conde
Fabio Carille
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
10', Fabiano 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Pedro Raul ⚽, Lucas Mugni (A),
31', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
34', Hugo Moura 🟨,
38', Galeano A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Paulinho Paula ↓, Jair ↑,
46', Garre B. ↓, Adson ↑,
46', Moreira N. ↓, Rayan ↑,
57', Payet D. ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
62', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
62', Vegetti P. 🟨,
64', Bruno Ferreira ↓, Fernando Miguel ↑,
71', Aylon ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
71', Lucas Mugni ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
71', Leo Conde 🟨,
81', 2 - 0, Pedro Raul ⚽, Guilherme Luiz (A),
89', Pedro Raul ↓, Romulo ↑,
89', Diego ↓, Lourenco ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽, Rayan (A),
90+4', Lucas Freitas ↓, Jean David ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ceará won 1.
Recent matches Ceará is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Vasco is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Vasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Ceará will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Ceará: Bruno Tubarao
(Thigh Injury)
Fernandinho
(Injury)
Lucas Mugni
(Inactive)
Matheus Bahia
(Inactive)
Pedro Henrique
(Knee Injury)
Richardson
(Heel Injury)
There will not play in Vasco: David
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
Lemos M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Ceará: Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Ceará won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 0.9:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).
Brazil
China
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Bruno Ferreira (G) 
Lucas Mugni 
Galeano A. 
Payet D. 
Moreira N. 
Augusto L. 
Jean David 
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