Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Simon N. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Orange County SC		Charleston Battery

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.05
	4.07	3.5	1.97
	3.71	3.82	1.86	Watch
	3.53	3.32	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.32)	3.47 ↓ (3.64)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
25.6%

Draw
27%

Charleston Battery
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25.7%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

24.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Charleston Battery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Orange County SC - Charleston Battery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shutler C. (G) 13. Guimaraes P. 33. Miles A. 20. Latinovich V. 23. Doghman R. 4. Benalcazar N. 27. Kelly S. 6. Pinto M. 14. Hegardt C. 11. Jamison B. 9. Zubak E.	56. Zamudio L. (G) 7. Blackstock L. 5. Archer L. (C) 22. Akpunonu J. 42. Martinez D. 10. Rodriguez A. 91. Houssou N. 6. Molloy A. 80. Torres J. 26. Jennings C. 9. Myers M.
Substitutes
7. Dunbar C. 15. Espy T. 31. Kadono T. (G) 28. Karam G. 26. Kone C. 18. Molina R. 19. Partida K. 10. Trager T. 21. War M.	62. Dossantos N. 1. Garner C. (G) 15. Leggett W. 14. Rubin R. 2. Segbers M. 16. Smith G. 8. Ycaza E.
Coaches
Stone D.	Pirmann B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Martinez D. 🟨,
30', Zubak E. 🟨,
34', Archer L. 🟨,
38', Blackstock L. 🟨,
40', Hegardt C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', Molloy A. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Zubak E. ⚽, Jamison B. (A),
64', Rodriguez A. ↓, Rubin R. ↑,
75', Houssou N. 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Zubak E. (Pen),
77', Zubak E. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
77', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
77', Blackstock L. ↓, Segbers M. ↑,
78', Houssou N. ↓, Ycaza E. ↑,
82', Archer L. ↓, Smith G. ↑,
82', Jennings C. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
82', Pinto M. ↓, Partida K. ↑,
83', Miles A. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Myers M. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Rubin R. ⚽, Molloy A. (A),
88', Smith G. 🟨,
90+1', Hegardt C. ↓, Kone C. ↑,
90+8', Torres J. 🟥,
90+12', Myers M. 🟨,

Preview

Charleston Battery is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Orange County SC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Charleston Battery is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Charleston Battery may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.

Charleston Battery is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
20.09.25	San Antonio - Orange County SC	3:1 ✺
12.09.25	Lexington - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Detroit City - Orange County SC	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion	4:4 ✺
23.08.25	Tulsa - Orange County SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLTL
- Charleston Battery
USL Championship
20.09.25	El Paso Locomotive - Charleston Battery	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Charleston Battery - Oakland Roots	3:3 ✺
06.09.25	Charleston Battery - Indy Eleven	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Rhode Island - Charleston Battery	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Charleston Battery - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
24.08.24	Charleston Battery - Orange County SC	6:0
19.08.23	Orange County SC - Charleston Battery	2:0
28.08.21	Charleston Battery - Orange County SC	0:0

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