The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Antonio 53.2%
Draw 25.6%
Orange County SC 21.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.5%
22.4%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
21%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Antonio's form might have worsened.
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
San Antonio - Orange County SC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Batrouni J. (G) 13. Ward A. 21. Crognale A. 43. Tiago 3. Taintor M. (C) 4. Blanco N. 19. Parano C. 14. Berron L. 6. Calov C. 22. Cuello E. 9. Patino S.
1. Rando A. (G) 16. Lindsey J. 5. Brewitt T. 6. Tubbs G. 23. Doghman R. 19. Partida K. 27. Kelly S. 11. MacKinnon L. 4. Benalcazar N. 10. Hegardt C. 12. Bazini Y.
Substitutes
17. Barbir D. 23. Buckmaster R. 11. Greive A. 46. Guevara B. 31. Namani D. (G) 70. Pacheco D. 99. Sorto C. 5. Souahy A. 45. Urrutia L.
20. Bunbury M. 15. Espy T. 17. Johnson J. 31. Kadono T. (G) 28. O'Brien F. 18. Palomino M. 25. Solis E. 8. Sylla O. 7. Wathuta S.
Coaches
Llamosa C.
Crettenand D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Cuello E. ⚽, Blanco N. (A),
20', Kelly S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wathuta S. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Parano C. ⚽,
63', Tiago 🟨,
65', Kelly S. ↓, Bunbury M. ↑,
69', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
74', Partida K. ↓, Palomino M. ↑,
76', Tiago ↓, Barbir D. ↑,
76', Patino S. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
83', Parano C. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
83', Calov C. ↓, Buckmaster R. ↑,
84', Benalcazar N. ↓, Espy T. ↑,
85', Doghman R. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Hegardt C. ⚽, Bazini Y. (A),
90', Brewitt T. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 1.
San Antonio has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Orange County SC has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
San Antonio carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, San Antonio has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:21 (averaging 0.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Antonio against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:9 goals (averaging 1.6:1.1 per game).