Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Toyota Field (San Antonio, TX)

Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	San Antonio		Orange County SC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2.04	3.72	3.4
	2.08	3.56	3.24	Watch
	2.06	3.52	3.32	Watch
	1.83	3.55	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)	3.55 ↑ (3.38)	3.39 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
46.3%

Draw
26.2%

Orange County SC
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

27.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

San Antonio - Orange County SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 23. Buckmaster R. 5. Souahy A. 3. Taintor M. 4. Blanco N. 6. Omar M. 18. Soto A. 70. Pacheco D. 8. Hernandez D. 10. Hernandez J. 99. Patino S.	31. Kadono T. (G) 23. Doghman R. (C) 33. Miles A. 4. Benalcazar N. 13. Guimaraes P. 20. Latinovich V. 27. Kelly S. 11. Jamison B. 14. Hegardt C. 7. Dunbar C. 9. Zubak E.
Substitutes
17. Agudelo J. 11. Greive A. 80. Linhares K. 94. Medranda J. 13. Namani D. (G) 77. Neville H. 2. Salim A. 45. Urrutia L. 42. Walker L.	35. Aguirre F. (G) 15. Espy T. 28. Karam G. 26. Kone C. 22. Marinch A. 18. Molina R. 6. Pinto M. 10. Trager T. 21. War M.
Coaches
Llamosa C.	Stone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Pacheco D. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, Hernandez D. ⚽, Patino S. (A),
54', 2 - 1, Benalcazar N. ⚽, Jamison B. (A),
66', 3 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽,
67', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
67', Miles A. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
72', Dunbar C. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
76', Guimaraes P. 🟨,
77', Buckmaster R. ↓, Neville H. ↑,
77', Pacheco D. ↓, Salim A. ↑,
77', Hernandez D. ↓, Linhares K. ↑,
90+8', Hegardt C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

San Antonio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.

San Antonio could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

San Antonio - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.73%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio FC
USL Championship
13.09.25	Loudoun United - San Antonio	2:5 ✺
06.09.25	San Antonio - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Detroit City - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Monterey Bay - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
20.08.25	San Antonio - Hartford Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTTL
- Orange County SC
USL Championship
12.09.25	Lexington - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Detroit City - Orange County SC	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion	4:4 ✺
23.08.25	Tulsa - Orange County SC	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.07.24	Orange County SC - San Antonio	2:0
13.04.24	San Antonio - Orange County SC	0:0
07.10.23	Orange County SC - San Antonio	1:0
23.09.23	San Antonio - Orange County SC	4:0
15.10.22	San Antonio - Orange County SC	2:2
09.04.22	Orange County SC - San Antonio	0:1
20.11.21	Orange County SC - San Antonio	2:1 penalties

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