Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)


	Orange County SC		Detroit City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	2.27	3.21	3.19
	2.28	3.21	3.19
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.29	3.22	3.12	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.99)	3.21 ↓ (3.34)	3.16 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
42.2%

Draw
28.7%

Detroit City
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

27.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orange County SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Orange County SC - Detroit City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shutler C. (G) 2. Lambe O. 30. Nakkim M. 6. Fox A. 14. Flood R. 26. Scott K. 10. Iloski B. 4. Djeffal S. 9. Zubak E. 7. Dunbar C. 21. Amang T.	1. Steinwascher N. (G) 12. Bryant M. 5. Carroll S. . 30. Amoo-Mensah D. 3. Villanueva A. 8. Diop A. 6. Murphy J. 2. Williams R. 21. Rodriguez M. 9. Morris B. 7. Bezerra V.
Substitutes
25. Ayoub R. 24. Barjolo B. 8. Casiple S. 15. Chattha A. 20. Ferree D. (G) 11. Jamison B. 27. Lee M. 35. Norris B. 32. Ruiz N.	10. Coote A. 24. Gasso D. 27. Matthews Y. 11. Rutz C. 91. Saldana C. (G) 13. Sheldon M. 4. Williams R.
Coaches
Karlsen M.	Dichio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Carroll S. . 🟨,
14', Amoo-Mensah D. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Carroll S. . ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Amang T. ⚽, Fox A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Scott K. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Scott K. ⚽, Lambe O. (A),
58', Djeffal S. ↓, Casiple S. ↑,
61', Rodriguez M. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
61', Bezerra V. ↓, Matthews Y. ↑,
64', Fox A. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Diop A. (Pen),
72', Dunbar C. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
74', Villanueva A. ↓, Sheldon M. ↑,
78', 3 - 2, Jamison B. ⚽, Amang T. (A),
83', Iloski B. ↓, Chattha A. ↑,
86', Murphy J. ↓, Rutz C. ↑,
90+3', Rutz C. 🟨,
90+5', Amang T. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Orange County SC is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Detroit City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Detroit City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Detroit City have a series of guest games.

Orange County SC will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
25.05.24	Orange County SC - Loudoun United	0:2 ✺
18.05.24	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Louisville City - Orange County SC	3:0 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.24	Orange County SC - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
27.04.24	Orange County SC - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
29.05.24	Louisville City - Detroit City	5:1 ✺
US Open Cup
22.05.24	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	3:0 ✺
USL Championship
11.05.24	Detroit City - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.24	Houston Dynamo - Detroit City	3:4 penalties ✺
USL Championship
04.05.24	Loudoun United - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
24.06.23	Detroit City - Orange County SC	0:1

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