The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Houston Dynamo 65.4%
Draw 21.4%
Detroit City 13.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
20.8%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
18.9%
14.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Dynamo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Houston Dynamo - Detroit City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Tarbell A. (G) 25. Dorsey G. 4. Bartlow E. 31. Micael 5. Steres D. 21. Gregus J. 16. Herrera H. (C) 3. Smith B. 15. Blessing L. 17. Segal G. 27. Kowalczyk S.
91. Saldana C. (G) 12. Bryant M. 5. Carroll S. . (C) 30. Amoo-Mensah D. 3. Villanueva A. 8. Diop A. 4. Williams R. 13. Sheldon M. 21. Rodriguez M. 10. Coote A. 7. Bezerra V.
Substitutes
6. Artur 8. Bassi A. 20. Carrasquilla A. 12. Clark S. (G) 18. Ibrahim A. 22. Schmitt T. 28. Sviatchenko E.
14. Espeleta D. 24. Gasso D. 27. Matthews Y. 9. Morris B. 6. Murphy J. 11. Rutz C. 1. Steinwascher N. (G)
Coaches
Olsen B.
Dichio D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Dorsey G. ⚽, Herrera H. (A),
19', Amoo-Mensah D. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Blessing L. ⚽, Segal G. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Williams R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Herrera H. ↓, Artur ↑,
46', Williams R. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
61', Sheldon M. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
61', Bezerra V. ↓, Matthews Y. ↑,
63', Segal G. ↓, Bassi A. ↑,
63', Micael ↓, Sviatchenko E. ↑,
70', Blessing L. ↓, Carrasquilla A. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Matthews Y. ⚽, Coote A. (A),
77', 3 - 2, Carrasquilla A. ⚽, Bassi A. (A),
79', Diop A. ↓, Rutz C. ↑,
80', Carroll S. . 🟨,
83', 3 - 3, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Amoo-Mensah D. (A),
84', Smith B. ↓, Ibrahim A. ↑,
90+4', Murphy J. 🟨,
90+6', Coote A. ↓, Gasso D. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
101', Steres D. ↓, Schmitt T. ↑,
103', Rodriguez M. ↓, Espeleta D. ↑,
120', Gasso D. 🟨,
120', 🟨,
Penalties (9 - 10)
1, Bassi A. (Pen),
1, Matthews Y. (Pen),
2, Kowalczyk S. (Pen),
2, Villanueva A. (Pen),
3, Carrasquilla A. (Pen),
3, Morris B. (Pen),
4, Gregus J. (Pen),
4, Murphy J. (Pen),
5, Ibrahim A. (Pen),
5, Bryant M. (Pen),
6, Sviatchenko E. (Pen),
6, Gasso D. (Pen),
7, Bartlow E. (Pen),
7, Espeleta D. (Pen),
8, Dorsey G. (Pen),
8, Amoo-Mensah D. (Pen),
9, Schmitt T. (Pen),
9, Rutz C. (Pen),
10, Artur (Pen),
10, Carroll S. . (Pen),
11, Tarbell A. (Pen),
11, Saldana C. (Pen),
Preview
Houston is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Detroit City is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Watch
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Tarbell A. (G) 
Micael 
Gregus J. 
Herrera H. (C) 
Smith B. 
Blessing L. 
Kowalczyk S. 
Carroll S. . (C) 
Diop A. 
Williams R. 
Coote A. 
Bassi A. 
Carrasquilla A. 
Ibrahim A. 
Sviatchenko E. 
Espeleta D. 
Matthews Y. 
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