Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Semey)

Referee: Ismuratov A. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Yelimay Semey		Ordabasy

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.10	2.25
	2.82	3.15	2.38	Watch
	2.94	3.45	2.41
	2.93	3.11	2.36	Watch
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.97	3.15	2.44	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.05)	3.21 ↓ (3.63)	2.34 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay Semey
32.3%

Draw
28.5%

Ordabasy
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

25.3%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

25.2%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ordabasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ordabasy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ordabasy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy Predictions

Users Predictions: Ordabasy will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pivkin N. (G) 2. Adambaev A. 4. Zhumakhanov A. 5. Belancic M. 20. Ashirbek A. 18. Orazov R. (C) 44. Tyulyubay A. 27. Berezkin E. 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 77. Placca F. 7. Murtazaev R.	13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 3. Kilama G. 25. Maliy S. (C) 55. Amanovic A. 22. Astanov S. 77. Abagna D. 16. Capatina M. 5. Antic N. 19. Leo Natel 9. Everton 10. Astanov E.
Substitutes
88. Baygaliev A. 3. Higor Gabriel 23. Ilic H. 50. Miladinovic I. 16. Ndreca E. 14. Palacio D. 10. Payruz Z. 99. Stojkovic V. (G) 11. Sviridov I. 1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 19. Zhaksylykov A. 67. Zhilin A.	15. Amir Z. 28. Johnsen B. 45. Mitkov D. 23. Nurymbet A. 27. Serik N. 1. Shayzada B. (G) 17. Sultaniyazov Z. 20. Toktybay M. 14. Turganov A. 11. Vakulko Y. 8. Zhaksybaev U.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Martin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Astanov E. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Leo Natel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Everton 🟨,
56', Leo Natel ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
60', Maliy S. 🟨,
64', Everton ↓, Johnsen B. ↑,
65', Astanov E. ↓, Vakulko Y. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Abagna D. ⚽, Astanov S. (A),
70', Placca F. ↓, Zhaksylykov A. ↑,
70', Ashirbek A. ↓, Payruz Z. ↑,
70', Adambaev A. ↓, Ilic H. ↑,
71', Murtazaev R. ↓, Sviridov I. ↑,
78', Bakhtiyarov A. 🟨,
79', Abagna D. ↓, Nurymbet A. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Berezkin E. ⚽,
85', Ilic H. 🟨,
85', 1 - 3, Amir Z. ⚽,
88', Vakulko Y. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In recent matches, Yelimay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ordabasy is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Ordabasy: 69.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	51:18	33	61
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
28.05.26	Kaisar - Yelimay Semey	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Yelimay Semey - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Ulytau - Yelimay Semey	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWTLL
- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
28.05.26	Ordabasy - Kairat	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Tobol Kostanay - Ordabasy	0:3 ✺
17.05.26	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.05.26	Altai Semey - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
28.09.25	Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy	2:1
15.06.25	Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey	1:1
10.11.24	Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey	2:1
Kazakh League Cup
06.07.24	Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey	2:2
Kazakh Premier League
28.04.24	Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy	1:1

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