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Current Win Probability
Orense 43.3%
Draw 29.7%
Guayaquil City 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
26.7%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
28.3%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orense's form might have worsened.
Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guayaquil City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guayaquil City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Orense - Guayaquil City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 31. Velasco P. 24. Achilier G. (C) 45. Quinonez O. 15. Caicedo B. 26. Molina N. 51. Ortiz C. 30. Burgoa V. 19. Bermudez M. 11. Herrera A. 10. Parrales M.
1. Napa G. (G) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 6. Arias R. (C) 80. Gonzalez P. 20. Laurino S. 14. Arroyo D. 19. Naula A. 21. Dorregaray D. 11. Mero E.
Substitutes
6. Callegari S. 23. Chuchuca W. 53. Garces L. 50. Hernandez E. 25. Jaramilo R. 5. Lorenzo A. 13. Mena A. 3. Mina S. 22. Ortiz J. (G) 2. Quinonez B. 21. Rostagno G. 88. Valencia J.
51. Cabezas E. 33. Caicedo R. 7. Caicedo S. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 70. Mancilla P. 16. Ordonez J. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G) 30. Pinos J. (G) 50. Rivadeneira F. 15. Sambonino K. 28. Vivar J.
Coaches
Robles A.
Gavilanez P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Ortiz C. ⚽, Burgoa V. (A),
9', Bermudez M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Dorregaray D. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 1 - 2, Mero E. ⚽, Dorregaray D. (A),
42', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
45+1', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 2, Herrera A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Napa G. ↓, Pinos J. ↑,
59', Laurino S. ↓, Mancilla P. ↑,
64', Gonzalez P. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
66', Parrales M. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
69', Arias R. ↓, Ladines Calvache E. P. ↑,
74', Quinonez O. ↓, Lorenzo A. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Burgoa V. ⚽, Molina N. (A),
77', 3 - 3, Dorregaray D. ⚽, Mero E. (A),
80', Ortiz C. ↓, Chuchuca W. ↑,
80', Bermudez M. ↓, Jaramilo R. ↑,
82', Achilier G. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 3, Burgoa V. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.
Orense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Guayaquil City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Orense is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
Usa
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Silva R. (G) 
Burgoa V. 
Gonzalez P. 
Valencia J. 
Palma M. 
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