Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 7

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Ecuavisa, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Independiente del Valle		Orense

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	9	Watch
	1.32	4.85	8.1	Watch
	1.39	4.9	9.38
	1.32	5.02	9.3	Watch
	1.3	4.2	8
	1.35	4.56	9.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.27)	4.67 ↑ (4.67)	8.82 ↓ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
69.7%

Draw
19.8%

Orense
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.1%

19.4%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Independiente del Valle - Orense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Carabajal M. 23. Viacava J. 19. Loor L. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 6. Alcivar J. 53. Lerma J. 11. Perello M. 9. Gonzalez C. 31. Pata E.	12. Silva R. (G) 6. Callegari S. 3. Mina S. 45. Quinonez O. 31. Velasco P. (C) 25. Jaramilo R. 7. Vasquez S. 15. Caicedo B. 10. Burgoa V. 9. Charpentier P. 11. Herrera A.
Substitutes
50. Angulo J. 12. Bores E. (G) 16. Briones R. 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 55. Guagua D. 32. Mendez J. 8. Ochoa Y. 99. Reasco D. 17. Rodriguez A. 33. Velasco A. 2. Zarate L.	8. Armas D. 19. Bermudez M. 17. Caicedo E. 53. Garces L. 13. Mena A. 26. Molina N. 51. Ortiz C. 22. Ortiz J. (G) 14. Pluas E. 4. Quinonez S. 77. Vinan B. 54. Zambrano Pesantez E. S.
Coaches
Papa J.	Robles A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Romero Padilla D. A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jaramilo R. ↓, Pluas E. ↑,
46', Charpentier P. 🟨,
50', Charpentier P. 🟨,
57', Pluas E. 🟨,
57', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
64', Sornoza J. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
65', Herrera A. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
65', Alcivar J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
65', Burgoa V. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
68', Callegari S. 🟨,
71', Gonzalez C. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
71', Perello M. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
76', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
76', Mina S. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
81', Loor L. 🟨,
86', 2 - 0, Briones R. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.

Ind del Valle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Orense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ind del Valle is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:12. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.03.26	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Emelec - Independiente del Valle	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
02.03.26	Manta - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWW
- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.03.26	SD Aucas - Orense	3:2 ✺
19.03.26	Orense - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Emelec - Orense	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Orense - Manta	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Orense - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.11.25	Independiente del Valle - Orense	0:0
17.10.25	Orense - Independiente del Valle	1:2
16.08.25	Independiente del Valle - Orense	2:1
27.04.25	Orense - Independiente del Valle	1:2
01.12.24	Orense - Independiente del Valle	0:0
02.06.24	Independiente del Valle - Orense	1:0
25.11.23	Independiente del Valle - Orense	2:2

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