The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orense 33.9%
Draw 27.7%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
25.9%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
25.2%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 2. Quinonez B. 5. Lorenzo A. 45. Quinonez O. 77. Vinan B. 7. Vasquez S. 25. Jaramilo R. 54. Zambrano Pesantez E. S. 13. Mena A. (C) 10. Burgoa V. 11. Herrera A.
12. Lara J. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. (C) 4. Jhon Chancellor 44. Valencia E. 5. Cacciabue J. 15. Moreno L. 32. Alonso M. 28. Diaz M. 30. Mejia E. 18. Palacios B.
Substitutes
8. Armas D. 19. Bermudez M. 17. Caicedo E. 6. Callegari S. 9. Charpentier P. 50. Hernandez E. 3. Mina S. 26. Molina N. 22. Ortiz J. (G) 14. Pluas E. 4. Quinonez S. 21. Rostagno G.
1. Cueva L. 7. Fajardo J. 10. Martinez F. 37. Medina C. 24. Nazareno D. 6. Palacios D. 23. Rodriguez A. 22. Romo R. (G) 13. Rose E. 19. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Torres H.
Martinez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Mejia E. ⚽, Alonso M. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Vinan B. ⚽,
40', Mejia E. 🟥,
42', Diaz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Jaramilo R. 🟨,
68', Jaramilo R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
68', Burgoa V. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
74', Quinonez O. 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Palacios B. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Alonso M. ↓, Nazareno D. ↑,
80', Vasquez S. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
80', Herrera A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
84', Quinonez B. ↓, Mina S. ↑,
85', Palacios B. 🟨,
87', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
90', Jhon Chancellor 🟨,
90+4', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1.
Orense has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Uni Católica is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Orense will win today's game, with odds of 2.38.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
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Silva R. (G) 
Lorenzo A. 
Jhon Chancellor 
Alonso M. 
Fajardo J. 
Torres H. 
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