Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 15

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Oriental de La Paz		Central Español

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.25
	2.88	3.05	2.3
	2.95	3.21	2.38
	3.16	2.21	3.26	Watch
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.94	3.05	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.6)	2.92 ↑ (2.87)	2.47 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
31.3%

Draw
31.5%

Central Español
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32.1%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

32.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Central Español, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Oriental de La Paz - Central Español Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Central Español will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Central Español will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Camarda F. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Sequeira S. ⚽,
24', 1 - 2, Colman G. ⚽,
27', 2 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Oriental has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Central Español is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.08.25	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
05.08.25	Atlético Arsenal - Oriental de La Paz	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.08.25	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Oriental de La Paz - La Luz	2:2 ✺
20.07.25	Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLTT
- Central Español
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.08.25	Central Español - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
06.08.25	Nacional Nueva Helvecia - Central Español	1:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.08.25	Central Español - Albion Montevideo	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Central Español	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Central Español - Rampla Juniors	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.05.25	Central Español - Oriental de La Paz	2:1

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