The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensor Sporting 40.5%
Draw 29%
Juventud de Las Piedras 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
29.2%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
28%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Machado L. (G) 11. Agazzi L. 24. de los Santos L. 14. Sorondo F. 15. Frugone A. 5. Barrios G. 6. Amaro M. 77. Castro F. 8. Wunsch N. 9. Machado A. 26. Montenegro B.
12. Rossi N. (G) 5. Morosini D. 2. Pernicone P. 23. Mas E. (C) 16. Rabino R. 8. Izaguirre M. 37. Peralta R. 22. Chagas R. 11. Lago P. 15. Cruz A. 80. Mimbacas F.
Substitutes
33. Bruschi S. 20. Caballero M. 30. Cuello E. 7. Lozano B. 28. Navarro L. 4. Rodriguez G. 17. Rodriguez V. 21. Scotti N. 23. Simone B. (G) 22. Torterolo A.
32. Barrios V. 27. Boselli J. 30. Gomez G. 90. Guerrero S. 10. Larregui B. 26. Pereiro G. 21. Perez F. 9. Perez M. 20. Sanchez R. 1. Sosa S. (G)
Coaches
Cuello R.
Blanco Soto S. R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Cruz A. ⚽,
15', Frugone A. 🟨,
21', Castro F. ↓, Torterolo A. ↑,
33', Rabino R. 🟨,
45', Lago P. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Agazzi L. ⚽,
59', Chagas R. 🟨,
61', Izaguirre M. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
61', Chagas R. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
65', Mimbacas F. ↓, Larregui B. ↑,
73', Wunsch N. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
73', Frugone A. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
80', Cruz A. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
81', Barrios G. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
81', Machado A. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
83', Perez F. 🟨,
87', Navarro L. 🟨,
90+4', Pernicone P. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Peralta R. ⚽,
90+5', Peralta R. 🟨,
90+8', Torterolo A. 🟨,
90+10', de los Santos L. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2.
In recent matches, Defensor Sporting has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Juventud is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Defensor Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Juventud has had a series of home games.
Defensor Sporting is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Juventud
9
3
5
1
10:6
4
14
Last Results with these Odds
Defensor Sporting - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.03%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Juventud de Las Piedras - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.79%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Peru
Uruguay
Watch
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Machado L. (G) 
Montenegro B. 
Pernicone P. 
