Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 3

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tacuarembó		Colón Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.82	2.88
	2.45	2.93	2.92
	2.51	2.93	2.96	Watch
	2.45	2.75	2.9
	2.45	2.84	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.83)	2.85 ↑ (2.74)	2.9 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
36.9%

Draw
31.8%

Colón Montevideo
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

33.9%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

34.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Colón Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacuarembó won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Colon	21	8	6	7	20:23	-3	30
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24

Last Results with these Odds

Colón Montevideo - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.37%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tacuarembó - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTTLL
- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	La Luz - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	4:2 ✺
04.04.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.08.25	Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo	2:2
30.05.25	Colón Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:0
26.04.25	Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo	1:0
13.10.24	Colón Montevideo - Tacuarembó	4:2
07.07.24	Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo	1:1

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