The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orlando City 62.8%
Draw 21.2%
San Jose Earthquakes 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
23.3%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.9%
18.6%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Jose Earthquakes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
7.6%
10.6%
Orlando City - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(54 of 66 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.52% – 91.12%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8).
Orlando City has the most likely position - 3 (12.19%), has project points - 53, has currently - 15, has a good chance of playoffs (73%), has a small chance of first-round bye (10%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (5%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
San Jose has the most likely position - 11 (11.84%), has project points - 43, has currently - 10, has a chance of playoffs (36%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Orlando City is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
San Jose has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Orlando City is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlando City won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Orlando City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.
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