Match Info

Liga Women - Round 13

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda (Yumbo (COL))


	Orsomarso		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.72	3.3	4.35
	1.75	3.39	4.25
	1.76	3.45	4.28	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.2
	1.7	3.45	4.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	3.33 ↑ (3.32)	4.26 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsomarso
51.8%

Draw
27%

Junior Barranquilla
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

24.8%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orsomarso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Orsomarso - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agamez D. (G) 18. Hernandez H. 4. Vergara M. 2. Iglesias A. (C) 17. Acevedo L. 6. Tenorio K. 16. Torres H. 7. Asprilla F. 14. Rivera T. 23. Goyes V. 11. Mendivelso N.	1. Reyes L. (G) 16. Carrasquilla D. 23. Martinez F. 5. Moreno Y. 13. Vega E. 11. Santos E. 25. Castano L. 7. Baldovino M. 10. Navarro L. 15. Bonett S. 9. Ruiz J.
Substitutes
20. Cassiani Y. 12. Duque M. (G) 13. Florez M. 24. Lasso Sanchez B. 9. Macias P. 21. Mosquera Inchima V. V. 15. Sanchez A. 19. Sandoval A.	19. Gomez N. 6. Herrera R. 21. Martinez T. 17. Mosquera Y. 12. Murillo K. (G) 4. Paez M. 20. Sanchez Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Vergara M. ⚽, Torres H. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Asprilla F. ⚽, Torres H. (A),
37', Moreno Y. 🟨,
42', Santos E. ↓, Paez M. ↑,
42', Bonett S. ↓, Sanchez Y. ↑,
45+1', Asprilla F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Asprilla F. ↓, Macias P. ↑,
46', Paez M. 🟨,
51', Martinez F. 🟨,
53', 3 - 0, Macias P. (Penalty Awarded),
62', 3 - 1, Iglesias A. (Own goal),
65', 4 - 1, Mendivelso N. ⚽,
72', 5 - 1, Goyes V. ⚽,
75', Acevedo L. ↓, Cassiani Y. ↑,
75', Rivera T. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
86', Mendivelso N. ↓, Florez M. ↑,
86', Torres H. ↓, Lasso Sanchez B. ↑,
89', Macias P. 🟨,
89', Castano L. ↓, Gomez N. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

Recent performances by Orsomarso have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Junior has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Orsomarso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Orsomarso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orsomarso SC Women
Colombian Liga Women
24.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Orsomarso	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Orsomarso - Inter Bogotá	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Once Caldas - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Orsomarso - Inter Palmira	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Orsomarso - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLTTW
- Junior Barranquilla Women
Colombian Liga Women
24.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Real Santander - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Llaneros - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
21.06.25	Junior Barranquilla - Orsomarso	2:6
03.04.22	Orsomarso - Junior Barranquilla	1:1

Orsomarso - Junior Barranquilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide