Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday


	Oryol		Sokol Saratov

	1	X	2
	3.61	3.3	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.75)	3.3 ↑ (3.14)	1.99 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oryol
25.6%

Draw
28%

Sokol Saratov
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.7%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oryol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oryol's form might have worsened.

Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sokol Saratov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oryol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sokol Saratov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oryol - Sokol Saratov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Zemskov P. (G) 10. Borisov G. 69. Cherepanov S. 21. Dmitriev M. 12. Khmelevskoy S. 55. Kopylov D. 99. Kuzmin D. 20. Luksha A. (C) 7. Shcherbakov I. 22. Stavtsev I. 46. Tarasov M.	1. Kraykov T. (G) 11. Babaev V. 56. Chobanov R. 23. Churikov I. 69. Ermolin R. 88. Guz A. 59. Kaplenko N. 10. Saaduev S. 7. Samko V. 9. Shpitalnyi V. (C) 51. Sinyak A.
Substitutes
24. Kotov N. (G) 13. Krasov N. 6. Luzin S. 8. Merkulov D. 4. Mertsalov E. 74. Mironenko D. 57. Stavtsev M.	42. Korabelnikov G. 41. Kuzmin D. 6. Mokshin I. 14. Pogosyan A. 40. Volodin D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Shpitalnyi V. ⚽,
19', Kaplenko N. ↓, Mokshin I. ↑,
28', 0 - 2, Samko V. ⚽, Babaev V. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Khmelevskoy S. ⚽,
64', 1 - 3, Shpitalnyi V. ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, Dmitriev M. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Oryol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sokol Saratov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
22.09.24	Ryazan - Oryol	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Oryol - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
04.09.24	Oryol - Salyut Belgorod	4:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
01.09.24	Oryol - Sakhalin	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Arsenal 2 Tula - Oryol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLWTW
- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Sokol Saratov - Sochi	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Tyumen - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
09.09.24	Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
23.08.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Sokol Saratov	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLTT

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