Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 17

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Heiwado HATO Stadium (Hikone)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Reilac Shiga		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.12	Watch
	3.26	3.1	2.19
	3.26	3.23	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.23	3.08	2.15	Watch
	2.94	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.94)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.18 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilac Shiga
29%

Draw
29.1%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.7%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

27.5%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilac Shiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilac Shiga than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Reilac Shiga - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kushibiki M. (G) 14. Shiraishi T. 55. Onodera K. 4. Ide K. 36. Maekawa T. 32. Umiguchi G. 8. Nakamura K. 18. Akiyama S. 7. Kubota K. 17. Kinoshita R. 10. Hitomi T.	39. Taniguchi R. (G) 2. Narasaka T. 96. Saitai Y. 4. Hasegawa K. 6. Hoshi K. 13. Kumasawa K. 17. Okano R. 30. Fukumori K. 9. Kawabe S. 7. Hirahara R. 18. Watanabe S.
Substitutes
44. Fujitani S. 77. Hojo S. 31. Kasahara S. (G) 15. Kikushima T. 11. Miyake K. 9. Morimoto H. 24. Romero F. 28. Tabei Y. 26. Tsunoda S.	24. Hiramatsu S. 22. Ikoma J. 14. Izawa H. 40. Kanzawa R. 28. Konomi K. 41. Sugimoto M. (G) 25. Tsubogo R. 37. Yoshida K. 8. Yoshinaga M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Narasaka T. ↓, Ikoma J. ↑,
46', Maekawa T. ↓, Hojo S. ↑,
60', Hitomi T. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
62', Kawabe S. ↓, Yoshinaga M. ↑,
62', Watanabe S. 🟨,
65', Kumasawa K. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
70', Kubota K. ↓, Morimoto H. ↑,
70', Kinoshita R. ↓, Miyake K. ↑,
80', Hirahara R. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
80', Fukumori K. ↓, Tsubogo R. ↑,
89', Akiyama S. ↓, Kikushima T. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Onodera K. ⚽, Kikushima T. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Reilac Shiga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Giravanz might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Reilac Shiga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilac Shiga FC
Japan J2 J3 League
13.05.26	Gainare Tottori - Reilac Shiga	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:4 ✺
03.05.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Reilac Shiga - Gainare Tottori	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLLL
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J2 J3 League
10.05.26	Gainare Tottori - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Oita Trinita	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
28.02.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Reilac Shiga	1:2

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